研究方向
本研究团队由同济大学软件学院和国家气象中心全球气象室组成,是目前国内 AI+ 气象交叉领域领先研究团队之一。研究团队的研究方向包括采用 AI 技术改善数值模式的预报技巧并提高预报效率和人工智能气象应用的物理一致性和可解释性研究等,覆盖 AI+ 气象的各个方面。具体成果包括天行气象大模型、数值模式-AI 模型融合的 NAO 集合预报系统及基于 CNOP 的台风集合预报系统、台风监测与预报、天气-次季节-季节尺度的 NAO 智能预测、ENSO 智能集合预测系统、北极海冰智能预测、数值模式预报结果的偏差订正与降尺度深度学习模型 、挖掘因果关系的通用深度学习组件 CAU 等。
通过AI参数化方案和智能数值模式对高温热浪进行预报。
![降水](/tian_xing/images/themes/precipitation.jpg)
应用AI参数化方案和智能数值模式进行次季节到季节降水预报。
![台风](/tian_xing/images/themes/typhoon.jpg)
结合深度学习和智能数值模式进行台风监测与预报。
![北大西洋涛动 (NAO)](/tian_xing/images/themes/NAO.jpg)
采用深度学习与CESM耦合模式,结合了集合预报和敏感区识别。
![北极海冰](https://ts1.cn.mm.bing.net/th/id/R-C.f131bacf8b60808eae643913333a018c?rik=YRKErOvhilD7Xw&riu=http%3a%2f%2fphoto-static-api.fotomore.com%2fcreative%2fvcg%2fveer%2f612%2fveer-142523921.jpg&ehk=yUqCybBSanF6niukG2KJOY%2bbehNk7%2fAhE85TMS4xxxQ%3d&risl=&pid=ImgRaw&r=0)
通过AI智能预报和偏差订正方法监测北极海冰变化。
![厄尔尼诺-南方涛动 (ENSO)](/tian_xing/images/themes/ENSO.jpg)
应用深度学习和物理引导进行智能预测。
主要研究成果
![Identifying Optimal Precursors of NAO Using CNOP Method in CESM](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/cms/asset/782d5b32-7595-46c5-9419-ee3c23cef6b3/scpr3215039-fig-0002-m.png)
Authors: Bin Mu, Jing Li, Shijin Yuan, Xiaodan Luo, Guokun Dai
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
Date: 2020-07-01
ID: doi:10.5194/npg-2020-27
![Deep Neural Network for ENSO Prediction and Sensitive Area Identification](https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/4105/2022/gmd-15-4105-2022-avatar-web.png)
Authors: Bin Mu, Yuehan Cui, Shijin Yuan, Bo Qin
Publisher: European Geosciences Union
Date: 2022-05-25
ID: doi:10.5194/gmd-15-4105-2022
全部
2024
![A deep learning-based global tropical cyclogenesis prediction model and its interpretability analysis](/tian_xing/images/research/202407_A%20deep%20learning-based%20global%20tropical%20cyclogenesis%20prediction%20model%20and%20its%20interpretability%20analysis.png)
![Multivariate Upstream Kuroshio Transport (UKT) Prediction and Targeted Observation Sensitive Area Identification of UKT Seasonal Reduction](/tian_xing/images/research/202406_Multivariate%20Upstream%20Kuroshio%20Transport%20(UKT)%20prediction%20and%20targeted%20observation%20sensitive%20area%20identification%20of%20UKT%20seasonal%20reduction.png)
![Developing intelligent Earth System Models: An AI framework for replacing sub-modules based on incremental learning and its application](/tian_xing/images/research/202402_Developing%20intelligent%20Earth%20System%20Models%20An%20AI%20framework%20for%20replacing%20sub-modules%20based%20on%20incremental%20learning%20and%20its%20application.png)
![A deep learning-based bias correction model for Arctic sea ice concentration towards MITgcm](/tian_xing/images/research/202404_A%20deep%20learning-based%20bias%20correction%20model%20for%20Arctic%20sea%20ice%20concentration%20towards%20MITgcm.png)
![A generative adversarial network–based unified model integrating bias correction and downscaling for global SST](/tian_xing/images/research/202401_A%20GAN-based%20Unified%20Model%20Integrating%20Bias%20Correction%20and%20Downscaling%20for%20Global%20SST.png)
2023
![IceTFT v1.0.0: interpretable long-term prediction of Arctic sea ice extent with deep learning](/tian_xing/images/research/202308_IceTFT%20v1.0.0%20Interpretable%20Long-Term%20Prediction%20of%20Arctic%20Sea%20Ice%20Extent%20with%20Deep%20Learning.png)
![Dimension shifting based intelligent algorithm framework to solve conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/202307_Dimension%20shifting%20based%20intelligent%20algorithm%20framework%20to%20solve%20conditional%20nonlinear%20optimal%20perturbation.png)
![Error Evolutions and Analyses on Joint Effects of SST and SL via Intermediate Coupled Models and Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation Method](/tian_xing/images/research/202304_Error%20Evolutions%20and%20Analyses%20on%20Joint%20Effects%20of%20SST%20and%20SL%20via%20Intermediate%20Coupled%20Models%20and%20Conditional%20Nonlinear%20Optimal%20Perturbation%20Method.png)
![PIRT: A Physics-Informed Red Tide Deep Learning Forecast Model Considering Causal-Inferred Predictors Selection](/tian_xing/images/research/202303_PIRT%20A%20Physics-informed%20Red%20Tide%20Deep%20Learning%20Forecast%20Model%20Considering%20Causal-inferred%20Predictors%20Selection.png)
2022
![ENSO-GTC: ENSO Deep Learning Forecast Model With a Global Spatial-Temporal Teleconnection Coupler](/tian_xing/images/research/202212_ENSO-GTC%20ENSO%20Deep%20Learning%20Forecast%20Model%20with%20a%20Global%20Spatial-Temporal%20Teleconnection%20Coupler.png)
![Ensemble Forecast for Tropical Cyclone Based on CNOP-P Method: A Case Study of WRF Model and Two Typhoons](https://jtm.itmm.org.cn/fileRDQXXB_EN/journal/article/rdqxxben/2022/2/jotm-28-2-121-2.jpg)
![Simulation, precursor analysis and targeted observation sensitive area identification for two types of ENSO using ENSO-MC v1.0](https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/15/4105/2022/gmd-15-4105-2022-avatar-web.png)
![The NAO Variability Prediction and Forecasting with Multiple Time Scales Driven by ENSO Using Machine Learning Approaches](/tian_xing/images/research/202204_The%20NAO%20Variability%20Prediction%20and%20Forecasting%20with%20Multiple%20Time%20Scales%20Driven%20by%20ENSO%20Using%20Machine%20Learning%20Approaches.png)
![Feature extraction-based intelligent algorithm framework with neural network for solving conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation](https://media.springernature.com/lw685/springer-static/image/art%3A10.1007%2Fs00500-021-06639-8/MediaObjects/500_2021_6639_Fig1_HTML.png?as=webp)
2021
![ENSO-ASC 1.0.0: ENSO deep learning forecast model with a multivariate air–sea coupler](/tian_xing/images/research/202111_ENSO%20deep%20learning%20forecast%20model%20A%20survey.png)
![Efficient Executions of Community Earth System Model onto Accelerators Using GPUs](/tian_xing/images/research/202011_Efficient%20Executions%20of%20Community%20Earth%20System%20Model%20onto%20Accelerators%20Using%20GPUs.png)
![Typhoon Intensity Forecasting Based on LSTM Using the Rolling Forecast Method](/tian_xing/images/research/202103_Typhoon%20Intensity%20Forecasting%20Based%20on%20LSTM%20Using%20the%20Rolling%20Forecast%20Method.png)
2020
![A Climate Downscaling Deep Learning Model considering the Multiscale Spatial Correlations and Chaos of Meteorological Events](/tian_xing/images/research/202011_A%20climate%20downscaling%20deep%20learning%20model%20considering%20the%20multiscale%20spatial%20correlations%20and%20chaos%20of%20meteorological%20events.png)
![Prediction of North Atlantic Oscillation Index Associated with the Sea Level Pressure Using DWT-LSTM and DWT-ConvLSTM Networks](/tian_xing/images/research/202010_Prediction%20of%20North%20Atlantic%20Oscillation%20Index%20Associated%20with%20the%20Sea%20Level%20Pressure%20Using%20DWT-LSTM%20and%20DWT-ConvLSTM%20Networks.png)
![Applying Convolutional LSTM Network to Predict El Niño Events: Transfer Learning from The Data of Dynamical Model and Observation](/tian_xing/images/research/202007_Applying%20Convolutional%20LSTM%20Network%20to%20Predict%20El%20Nino%20Events%20Transfer%20Learning%20from%20The%20Data%20of%20Dynamical%20Model%20and%20Observation.png)
![Optimal Precursors Identification for North Atlantic Oscillation using CESM and CNOP Method](https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/cms/asset/782d5b32-7595-46c5-9419-ee3c23cef6b3/scpr3215039-fig-0002-m.png)
2019
![Parallel PCA-Based Bacterial Foraging Optimization Algorithm for Identifying Optimal Precursors of North Atlantic Oscillation](/tian_xing/images/research/201908_Parallel%20PCA-Based%20Bacterial%20Foraging%20Optimization%20Algorithm%20for%20Identifying%20Optimal%20Precursors%20of%20North%20Atlantic%20Oscillation.png)
![CNOP-P-based parameter sensitivity for double-gyre variation in ROMS with simulated annealing algorithm](/tian_xing/images/research/201905_CNOP-P-based%20parameter%20sensitivity%20for%20double-gyre%20variation%20in%20ROMS%20with%20simulated%20annealing%20algorithm.png)
![Optimal precursors of double-gyre regime transitions with an adjoint-free method](/tian_xing/images/research/201903_Optimal%20precursors%20of%20double-gyre%20regime%20transitions%20with%20an%20adjoint-free%20method.png)
2018
![Identifying Typhoon Targeted Observations Sensitive Areas Using the Gradient Definition Based Method](/tian_xing/images/research/201810_Identifying%20Typhoon%20Targeted%20Observations%20Sensitive%20Areas%20Using%20the%20Gradient%20Definition%20Based%20Method.png)
![A novel approach for solving CNOPs and its application in identifying sensitive regions of tropical cyclone adaptive observations](/tian_xing/images/research/201809_A%20novel%20approach%20for%20solving%20CNOPs%20and%20its%20application%20in%20identifying%20sensitive%20regions%20of%20tropical%20cyclone%20adaptive%20observations.png)
2017
![An Efficient Approach Based on the Gradient Definition for Solving Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201711_An%20efficient%20approach%20based%20on%20the%20gradient%20definition%20for%20solving%20conditional%20nonlinear%20optimal%20perturbation.png)
![An improved effective approach for urban air quality forecast](/tian_xing/images/research/201707_An%20improved%20effective%20approach%20for%20urban%20air%20quality%20forecast.png)
![Parallel dynamic search fireworks algorithm with linearly decreased dimension number strategy for solving conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201705_Parallel%20Dynamic%20Search%20Fireworks%20Algorithm%20with%20Linearly%20Decreased%20Dimension%20Number%20Strategy%20for%20Solving%20Conditional%20Nonlinear%20Optimal%20Perturbation.png)
2016
![PCAFP for Solving CNOP in Double-Gyre Variation and Its Parallelization on Clusters](/tian_xing/images/research/201612_PCAFP%20for%20Solving%20CNOP%20in%20Double-Gyre%20Variation%20and%20its%20Parallelization%20on%20Clusters.png)
![Parallel Modified Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm for Solving Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201612_Parallel%20modified%20artificial%20bee%20colony%20algorithm%20for%20solving%20conditional%20nonlinear%20optimal%20perturbation.png)
2015
![Robust ensemble feature extraction for solving conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201511_Robust%20ensemble%20feature%20extraction%20for%20solving%20conditional%20nonlinear%20optimal%20perturbation.png)
![Parallel Cooperative Co-evolution Based Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for Solving Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201511_Parallel%20Cooperative%20Co-evolution%20Based%20Particle%20Swarm%20Optimization%20Algorithm%20for%20Solving%20Conditional%20Nonlinear%20Optimal%20Perturbation.png)
![PCAGA: Principal component analysis based genetic algorithm for solving conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201507_PCAGA%20Principal%20Component%20Analysis%20Based%20Genetic%20Algorithm%20for%20Solving%20Conditional%20Nonlinear%20Optimal%20Perturbation.png)
![PCGD: Principal components-based great deluge method for solving CNOP](/tian_xing/images/research/201505_PCGD%20Principal%20components-based%20great%20deluge%20method%20for%20solving%20CNOP.png)
![User-QoS-Based Web Service Clustering for QoS Prediction](/tian_xing/images/research/201506_User-QoS-based%20Web%20Service%20Clustering%20for%20QoS%20Prediction.png)
2014
![Code parallel refactoring of the Zebiak-Cane model based on JASMIN](/tian_xing/images/research/201310_Code%20parallel%20refactoring%20of%20the%20Zebiak-Cane%20model%20based%20on%20JASMIN.png)
![QoS-Aware Cloud Service Selection Based on Uncertain User Preference](/tian_xing/images/research/201410_QoS-Aware%20Cloud%20Service%20Selection%20Based%20on%20Uncertain%20User%20Preference.png)
![SAEP: Simulated Annealing Based Ensemble Projecting Method for Solving Conditional Nonlinear Optimal Perturbation](/tian_xing/images/research/201408_SAEP%20Simulated%20Annealing%20Based%20Ensemble%20Projecting%20Method%20for%20Solving%20Conditional%20Nonlinear%20Optimal%20Perturbation.png)
![Orthogonal Neighborhood Preservation Projection Based Method for Solving CNOP](/tian_xing/images/research/201408_Orthogonal%20Neighborhood%20Preservation%20Projection%20Based%20Method%20for%20Solving%20CNOP.png)
![Parallel Optimization of the MM5 Adjoint Model](/tian_xing/images/research/201311_Parallel%20Optimization%20of%20the%20MM5%20Adjoint%20Model.png)
![ACStack: Adaptive Composite Stack for Adjoint Models in Code Optimization](/tian_xing/images/research/201311_ACStack%20%20Adaptive%20composite%20stack%20for%20adjoint%20models%20in%20code%20optimization.png)
2013
![An optimization framework for adjoint-based climate simulations: A case study of the Zebiak-Cane model](/tian_xing/images/research/201405_An%20optimization%20framework%20for%20adjoint-based%20climate%20simulations%20A%20case%20study%20of%20the%20Zebiak-Cane%20model,%20International%20Journal%20of%20High%20Performance%20Computing%20Applications.png)